Derbyshire Blue Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 I calculated forest to be on 70 points if they draw today and win against Brighton and then it would be down to goal difference. But skyscore centre may be slow to update and I might have got confused. no 69 max if they draw today and beat Brighton Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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adsfortheblues Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 Unless I'm missing something, you're wrong about needing Forest to lose today. If they draw, and then beat Brighton on the last day, they will finish on 69 points. If we win both our games (which is absolutely what we must do or we're out of it), we finish on 70 points. All we need from the Forest game is that they don't win. Anything else there is essentially irrelevant. Correct. Forest will have nothing to play for even if they draw today really, as they would have to beat Brighton 15-0. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lraC Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 if Carlsberg did play off chases Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Husky Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 I calculated forest to be on 70 points if they draw today and win against Brighton and then it would be down to goal difference. But skyscore centre may be slow to update and I might have got confused. Wait, relooked, you are correct, so if forest lose or draw today we need to hope that they still can be bothered for a meaningless game against brighton on the last day of the season as even if brighton draw, they have a better goal difference and so would get the playoff place, so we definitely need forest to beat them! If Forest draw today and win against Brighton they will get 69 points. They'd have to beat Brighton by 4 goals on the last day of the season to have a chance. However if Forest lose today that will be it for them - and possibly less inspiration to not let Brighton roll them on the last day? Easier to predict on paper I guess. All we can do is win both our games and see............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mike Graham Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 We could do with a further 6 goals from Gestede in the 2nd half to help our goal difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TurkishDelightFan Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 I see a very slim chance of promotion, basically if everything goes well today, we still need Burnley with nothing to play for to beat Reading away from home. And for Forest who would have nothing to play for to beat Brighton, 2 very slim chance of events happening. Oh and the small matter of us beating Wigan at home too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ricky Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 Yep. 65 at the moment for Forest if they lose today. We're currently still 2 points off that last play off place. We'd still need Brighton to lose and we'd need to better Readings result as well. Lot to ask for still. And that's if all results end as they are now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
somersetrover Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 I see a very slim chance of promotion, basically if everything goes well today, we still need Burnley with nothing to play for to beat Reading away from home. And for Forest who would have nothing to play for to beat Brighton, 2 very slim chance of events happening. Oh and the small matter of us beating Wigan at home too. If Reading drop points today, then Burnley will only need to draw with Reading. And then if we win both our games we will finish above them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neal Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 Maths aside, it's the same as its been for this final 3rd of the season... We need to win and everyone else to lose... (Reading, Brighton both better GD). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stuart Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 Things are going our way! Let's hope it continues for another 45 mins. Never easy being a Rovers supporter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lraC Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 Correct. Forest will have nothing to play for even if they draw today really, as they would have to beat Brighton 15-0. Take another look at the table. If Forest draw, they will need to beat Brighton by 4 goals, as they are 7 goals worse off at the minute. I don't know where you got 15 goals from. They won't finish above us, if they draw today and we win both of our games. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluebruce Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 Correct. Forest will have nothing to play for even if they draw today really, as they would have to beat Brighton 15-0. That's not right either. Brighton's GD is +14, Forest's is +7. With them playing each other, a 4 goal win would do it for Forest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neal Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 Sky Sports Score Centre makes it pretty clear with their live table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TurkishDelightFan Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 And then once we get into the playoffs we need to beat 2 of either Derby, QPR or Wigan which will be very hard too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 Remember guys, it's the hope that kills you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lraC Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 I see a very slim chance of promotion, basically if everything goes well today, we still need Burnley with nothing to play for to beat Reading away from home. And for Forest who would have nothing to play for to beat Brighton, 2 very slim chance of events happening. Oh and the small matter of us beating Wigan at home too. Burnley had nothing to play for today, but did us a favour. They will not throw that game, as the shoe could be on the other foot in the future. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mike Graham Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 Remember guys, it's the hope that kills you I hope the Venkys self combust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunnfc Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 Big attendance vs Wigan? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lraC Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 Forrest 2 down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Backroom Tom Posted April 26, 2014 Backroom Share Posted April 26, 2014 Forest 2 down IT'S HAPPENING Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluebruce Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 I see a very slim chance of promotion, basically if everything goes well today, we still need Burnley with nothing to play for to beat Reading away from home. And for Forest who would have nothing to play for to beat Brighton, 2 very slim chance of events happening. Oh and the small matter of us beating Wigan at home too. Well, Burnley had nothing to play for today and beat Ipswich. If Forest draw today they could go up with a very strong win over Brighton, so hopefully they won't just curl up and die (unless they go a goal down, I'd guess they might do then). I'd guess our playoff chances are at about...I dunno, 15-20 percent, if everything goes well today. Total promotion chances, probably about 5 percent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adsfortheblues Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 We've conceded 11 penalties away from home this season!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neal Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 2-0 Bournemouth. Forget Forest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mike Graham Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 Big attendance vs Wigan? The Club will under report the gate to save on the VAT bill ;-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TurkishDelightFan Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 Well, Burnley had nothing to play for today and beat Ipswich. If Forest draw today they could go up with a very strong win over Brighton, so hopefully they won't just curl up and die (unless they go a goal down, I'd guess they might do then). I'd guess our playoff chances are at about...I dunno, 15-20 percent, if everything goes well today. Total promotion chances, probably about 5 percent. I'd settle for a trip to Wembley I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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