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Expected Points Comparison


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I started this in the Bristol C match thread but believe it might be best for it to have it's own thread. I'll update this as the week's go by, this should give us a clear indication on what direction we are heading and how we compare to everyone else this season as well as teams in key positions over the last 5 years. 

Current PPG - 2.00

Average xPPG over 5yrs     |     24/25 Season

1st xPPG - 2.08             |        1st xPPG - 3.00
2nd xPPG - 1.95            |       2nd xPPG - 2.50
3rd xPPG - 1.82             |        3rd xPPG - 2.25
6th xPPG - 1.58             |        6th xPPG - 1.75
12th xPPG - 1.36           |       12th xPPG - 1.25
21st xPPG - 1.02           |        21st xPPG - 0.75
22nd xPPG - 0.96          |       22nd xPPG - 0.5
24th xPPG - 0.80           |        24th xPPG - 0.25

If we win against Bristol C 
PPG - 2.2
If we draw against Bristol C 
PPG - 1.8 
If we lose against Bristol City
PPG - 1.6 
(PPG = points per game) 
(xPPG = expected points per game) 

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