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    Hannover, Germany

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  1. Quite looking forward to this game. No idea what to expect for either team! Hopefully we can get some points on the board whilst Swansea are sorting themselves out. Guess 3-2 for Rovers. If I read it correctly it'll cost £10 per match or £170 for a season ticket For overseas viewers. £10 a match is quite an increase on last year's prices!
  2. https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMc2107717 Uk based study showing that even after 1 shot of either Oxford-AZ or BioNTech-Pfizer, transmission was reduced by 40-50%. It'll be even higher after the 2nd shot.
  3. I'm English (not that it makes a difference), but yes like with all technology it needs carefully regulating by an independent body. The idea is that by grouping vaccinated people together, if/when one is infected, this person has has a lower chance of passing it on to their neighbour and their neighbour has a lower chance of becoming infected and subsequently passing it on through their community. I've just read that the plan is to only allow vaccinated people into stadiums. I disagree with this and I would also allow recently tested people in too. This would allow people who don't want to be vaccinated for whatever reason the chance to attend.
  4. Health and freedom debate aside, I was assuming that more fans would be willing to attend with the passports than would be lost due to them? I'm assuming a certain % of the population will still want to join in but be cautious too. It would be a mess if Ewood had to close again over winter.
  5. Yes they do. If a group of people are vaccinated, the virus can't continue to circulate within the population. It's a political decision supported by science. The UK or any segregated population of people will be fine when a certain % of people are vaccinated. Just like with polio and measles. There will be community immunity soon, followed by herd immunity when the whole UK has reached this level. The whole World is a different issue. Time scale: more like years than months, but depends on how the virus and vaccines evolve. Giving over freedom is surely too far, it's only flashing a QR code whilst entering the turnstiles!? Unless by freedom you mean you are barred from going into crowded areas because a) you don't want to be vaccinated and b) you don't want to be tested. I suspect these measures won't be need when an area has fewer than a certain number of cases per 100 000 people. Germany uses 10 at the moment.
  6. you are 100% correct, it shouldn't, but in an ongoing pandemic it's probably the best way to have maximum attendances. Ability to take part is dependent on being either not infected or vaccinated. I agree with the slippery slope and in theory a flu pandemic (last one was 1918) could Iin theory lead to similar actions- although hopefully not! The current vaccines are working brilliantly against the current variants. I think you are 66% less likely to become infected and roughly the same in infecting someone else. True, however if everyone is vaccinated (or approx 90% of society with SARS-CoV-2) then the chain will be broken. I agree vaccination should be a personal choice. Scientifically it makes sense, it's just what each society and country wants to do.
  7. Good point, the place of death used to be recorded in the UK (probably still is) and I would guess the vast majority are dying in hospitals now after being admitted due to COVID-19. You would be pretty unlucky if you tested positive and after isolating for 2 weeks then walked out and died due to an accident. Conversely you could argue that cases aren't being reported where the person 'survives/recovers', but dies due to COVID-19 related morbidities, e.g. severely decreased lung function, kindey heart etc failure. A secondary respiratory or organ infection would be a lot more severe with a severely damaged lung etc. I'm sure and would hope lots of scientists are looking into this.
  8. I think it's a good idea, but only if free tests are available for the 10-20% who have decided not to get vaccinated. You can easily argue that the minor inconvenience of an extra 30 mins for choosing not to get vaccinated is morally acceptable. Will also make economic sense with fewer people isolating and not attending matches/working, plus more cost effective for the NHS. People unable to be vaccinated should initially be classed as vaccinated, but encouraged to get tested. This should allow everyone to attend and create a safe environment. Maybe more people will attend if they know their neighbours who they are rubbing shoulders with during the game are also less likely to infect them. Even though I'm fully vaccinated, healthy and youngish, I wouldn't want to be in the middle of the blackburn end at the moment. Would be Riverside for me like the good old days :-)
  9. Nice kit. If it's not 50 quid I will get 1 or 2. Odd to get Armstrong to model it if he will leave before he actually wears it....
  10. I assume the UK has been using the % adult population as its an achievable goal to aim for and reads better. Most other countries are using % of total population. Still the same number of people are vaccinated whichever way you look at it. Regarding the kids; I think it's more of an ethical debate. The benefits of vaccination only slightly outweigh the negatives, plus you are taking the vaccine from someone else in need elsewhere in the world. European countries will have to choose if they should vaccinate kids to protect adults, whereby the kids won't benefit greatly. I can't think of a comparable situation in our society and Germany is wrestling with this topic now. Slightly rhetorical question, but what would you do?
  11. Uk scientists opinion on current government policies: https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(21)01589-0/fulltext
  12. Update on the origins of a SARS-CoV-2 https://zenodo.org/record/5075888#.YOoK-L_RY0H I havent read the whole thing yet, but there doesn't seem to be any surprises. The virus probably orginated in a bat, but we haven't determined how it infected patient 0 yet. No evidence it came from a lab.
  13. The lateral flow test can detect a certain amount of viral protein in your nose/mouth or wherever you swab. This is fairly specific, but not very sensitive, ie even though you are infected and potentially contagious, small amounts of viral protein won't be detected. The throat test - assuming you mean the PCR test? Detects the viral code and is very specific and very very sensitive. It can reliably detect if you have approx 3 viral copies (3 virus particles) on the tip of the swab. You may have a small amount at e.g. the start or end of an infection. Or if you mean difference between swabbing nose vs throat - this virus used to found in a higher concentration in the throat vs the tip of your nose. This may have changed with the new variants though so I'm not 100% sure if this is still true.
  14. Hopefully true. Also immunocompomised, didn't want to receive the vaccine and the vaccine hasn't worked effectively/wearing off. I'm used to wearing a mask so I personally feel the inconvenience it causes me doesn't outweigh the benefit of protecting myself and others.
  15. I was on the fence during my last post, but I will personally wear my mask if/when I ever go back the the UK and the levels are as high as they currently are. I am fully vaccinated, but I wouldn't want to pass it on to someone else who may not be as fortunate. Of course deciding when to wear a mask will depend on local transmission rates and situation. From the outside looking in, it'll be interesting to watch what happens during this 'experiment'.
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