Providing Leeds beat Bristol City on Monday. It looks like there will be 20 permutations which get Rovers into the Playoffs: 4 of these would require a better GD than Bristol City (4 goal swing needed) Amazingly, there is around 19% chance of it happening or around 4/1 in betting money. Most likely successful Rovers permutation is: Rovers Win...Bristol City Win...Coventry Lose...Millwall Lose, which would also be a stinker for PNE so that's nice 🙂 If Bristol City draw with Leeds this drops to 15% chance, and if they beat Leeds it drops to 13%

Ideally by 3 goals - as that’ll mean a 1 goal Rovers win puts them above Bristol City if they draw with PNE

Coventry v Boro - if we draw then one of those two finishes above us

I’ll stay outside 😄

We’re in a fight for the playoff spots and I turned the tv off at HT to get some work done in the garden - that’s how utterly boring that first half was. Pathetic, when it matters most - it just sums up Rovers.

Dire so far, certainly don’t look like a team with a sniff of the top 6

It makes no difference to us directly. But it means Boro can lose today to Norwich and still have a chance of 6th if they beat Coventry i.e. they have something still to play for - which is better for us as we can’t have Coventry winning that final match. (not that I see Boro losing today)

That was Jones - Bell was subbed a while back.

Comedy goal, and we love it

Coventry down to 10 already - ref couldn’t wait to give that 😂

Should be as much of a gimme as you get in this league. Playing against a very average side who only have their eyes on their upcoming Dubai holidays. Rovers are 2nd shortest price of all fixtures today at 1.75 (8/11 ish) - only Boro are more fancied to win at 1.65 (4/6 ish). No doubt we’ll get served up the soft lads version and we’ll slump to a depressing 2-0 defeat.

Thanks! For me, I'm not overly worried about the team 'short-term' i.e. this summer. It's more 2026 with Travis, Tronstad, Brittain, Hyam all gone as that is our spine, all likely leaving for free if we don't sort it now. This is where the focus should be now (should have been months ago) Even a club as incompetent as ours should fancy their chances of improving on ACD, Dennis, Woodrow, Sanderson, Hedges, Foreshaw (6 of the 10). We'll likely get another 5 loans, which i'd be impressed if they're any worse than the 5 listed above who have offered nothing bar Beck. (Loans in this league should be instant 1st teamers if you have any sense). Beck, Dolan, Batth and Weimann given his goalscoring record will be missed, but the latter two should be easy enough to re-sign.

To save me looking it up, who are the 10 please? Hedges, Dolan, Batth, Weimann, Foreshaw...

Made me laugh just how accurate this is. I can picture it already, on here at 14:30 after Luton beat Coventry, we're all excited that a win would take us to 1 point off 6th with 1 game to play, then we go 2-0 down after 8 minutes.

Yep... A lot of depends on how this weekend goes first, but essentially we'll be cheering on the Draw most likely in that match, or a Boro win (if they don't win this weekend). If Coventry win it, then we cannot catch them.

Well, here are the permutations needed as far as I can see. Bookies suggest 25/1 shot so about 4 in 100 - can't be bothered working out my own odds, but will do so if we're still in the hunt next week.

This is what I am expecting too - we'll renew Hedges, and others who should be squad players at best, but balls it up for Brittain, Tronstad, Travis. If we could get contracts over the line, the core of this team is decent. Travis and Tronstad together are a great centre midfield pairing in this league. Brittain and Ribiero are top quality full backs in this league. We have top half centre backs in Hyam, Carter, Batth, Wharton. Ohashi has proven himself to be a quality goalscorer in this league and Dolan is comfortably a top half Championship player despite what many say on here. Our issue is and has been for a few years 1) depth - as shown again when the January injuries hit and the clowns thought the likes of Forshaw would suffice and 2) quality wingers / strikers - as shown by the number of appearances we've had to get out of Hedges this season. As always, if we just spent £10m of the Wharton + Szmodics + Raya + Phillips money (it doesn't even need to be on the level of Coventry with Gyokeres and Hamer) for a proven winger, goal scorer and centre midfield depth and played Toth instead of Pears then I'd have no doubt we'd be in the Top 6 right now.

These two look miles behind the 3 who were promoted last season, and look how much they’ve got battered every week against the big boys. The gulf is huge between the two leagues now.

We have to win both games to have a chance (fact) as 4 points doesn’t reach Bristol City and only matches Coventry if they lose two (but one would be to Boro would also match our points with better GD). If we do win both games then it makes no difference to us if Coventry draw or lose vs Luton as we’ll need them to either draw (we’d be guaranteed better GD) vs Boro or lose to Boro. So 12:30pm Saturday Luton vs Coventry, no difference to us if they draw (go to 67 points) or lose (stay on 66 points). Ideally Boro would then lose as they’d still have something to play for vs Coventry on the final game, but we’d be above them. Fun to still have a chance, but I constantly said it would be sub-70 points needed and it’s infuriating that we’re not cemented in 5th place (although West Brom fans probably feel the same).

It wouldn’t be a shock after that if we’re 2 points behind Bristol City and 1 behind Coventry. Coventry vs Boro last game of the season too

Incredible how he’s managed to de-rail that promotion push so efficiently.

Fuck me if this stays the same then a win for us at home to Watford and Leeds beating Bristol City in Leeds next week (both likely) means we have a chance going into the final game. Obviously we’ll still probably need multiple results to go our way. About as Blackburn Rovers as it gets

“Sell us, Ta”

“Confidence was absolutely waning when Ismael took over as proved by the poor results and performances” That was the quote that was being replied to. We won 3 in 5 including a big away win at West Brom with the players celebrating with fans and sat in the Top 6 - they certainly should not have been low on confidence, and if they were they’re mentally weak.

Pencil us in for needing a 3 Point and 8 GD swing on the last day of the season, but ending 8th as the other teams win, and we rue another year.