Here are the 81 different combination of results between the the playoff contenders: 21% chance of Rovers finishing in the Top 6 This becomes 66% chance IF Rovers are confirmed as a Win (i.e. 66% chance that 2+ of Millwall, Coventry, Bristol City fail to win)

Will confirm tomorrow, but should just be the same as above as that assumed a Leeds win tonight, but now we’ve confirmed that no GD swing needed. Essentially 1) Rovers win 2) Any 2, or all 3, of Bristol City, Coventry and Millwall fail to win (draw or lose)

Yep, those players will have a bigger bonus for winning the league vs 2nd. No doubt at all that Burnley will be going full strength to win the league, get 100 points, get bigger pay days and have a better CV. Millwall are 5/1 to win that match currently, Burnley 4/6 - which reflects correctly.

We'll have a slightly clearer picture after tonight. I've already shared the 20 combinations of results that end up with Rovers in the Top 6, but thought it's worth mentioning, that if Rovers do win, then there is a 67% chance of the Top 6. So we're more likely than not, to get the other results in our favour, just that we have to do the job ourselves. Just shows, if we just had a draw vs Cardiff at home then this would be in our own hands - although I think with this team I'd rather be chasing from the outside than having it in our own hands.

Annoyingly they were guaranteed 3rd place a week earlier than we’d have wanted. They rested a lot of players on Friday night so I think it’s more likely they go a bit stronger against us.

Are Thursday / Monday the confirmed playoff dates? What a shambles football has become not having 1 of the legs on a weekend

About 30/1 I think

(below is providing Leeds beat Bristol City) There are 81 permutations of various results in the 4 matches (Bristol City, Coventry, Millwall, Rovers). 20 of those 81 sees Rovers make the Top 6.

Providing Leeds beat Bristol City on Monday. It looks like there will be 20 permutations which get Rovers into the Playoffs: 4 of these would require a better GD than Bristol City (4 goal swing needed) Amazingly, there is around 19% chance of it happening or around 4/1 in betting money. Most likely successful Rovers permutation is: Rovers Win...Bristol City Win...Coventry Lose...Millwall Lose, which would also be a stinker for PNE so that's nice 🙂 If Bristol City draw with Leeds this drops to 15% chance, and if they beat Leeds it drops to 13%

Ideally by 3 goals - as that’ll mean a 1 goal Rovers win puts them above Bristol City if they draw with PNE

Coventry v Boro - if we draw then one of those two finishes above us

I’ll stay outside 😄

We’re in a fight for the playoff spots and I turned the tv off at HT to get some work done in the garden - that’s how utterly boring that first half was. Pathetic, when it matters most - it just sums up Rovers.

Dire so far, certainly don’t look like a team with a sniff of the top 6

It makes no difference to us directly. But it means Boro can lose today to Norwich and still have a chance of 6th if they beat Coventry i.e. they have something still to play for - which is better for us as we can’t have Coventry winning that final match. (not that I see Boro losing today)