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superniko

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Everything posted by superniko

  1. Who the fook is Fraser Read and why is some inexperienced kid holding such a role at our club. As for crowd funding our own stadium improvements…….”never refuse a cheque” Venkys Out and strip the rest of the hierarchy clean too.
  2. Wharton out for the whole next season. So add another CB to the list of needs. So I make that a GK, LB, RB, CB, CM, Winger, ST - looks like we need to fill every single position on what I imagine will be a negative budget.
  3. Man it's depressing going back reading the first few pages of this thread. There was some real optimism at the club that hasn't been around since Hughes' days I'd say. Wharton signed a new contract, everyone was on board with JDT, we had other youngsters like Phillips, Carter and Leonard. There's also some funny stuff like the 'gaming until 2am', 'walked out of training as someone put a hard tackle on him', 'personally threatened Broughton'. I think there was plenty of moaning about him being at the Etihad for a match one evening too when injured
  4. I think the 'Eustace was doing really well at Birmingham' is a bit of a false narrative. I read a bit from their fans recently to see thoughts on it, and most claimed it was the fact that he was replaced with Rooney that was shocker in it all. I think it's quoted a lot that they were on the edge or in the playoffs when they fired him, but they were 2 points from 16th or something too, it was just a really condensed league table. EDIT: just to add to the above, he clearly did a decent job there, kept them up then had them looking relatively safe, just what I read from some Birmingham fans was that it might not be viewed that way if the appointment was correct rather than Rooney. Trying to claim his signings were in any way good is pretty laughable from Chaddy, but we know he's in cloud cookoo land and thinks we'll spend loads of money on top quality players like he has for every transfer window since forever.
  5. We’ve just moved from 7/4 (underdogs) to 11/8 (favourites) on the back of that Coventry defeat (36% chance of winning to 42% chance). Hopefully Mercer is backing Cov so we can all breath a sigh of relief Also means there is lots for West Brom to be competing for vs Sheffield Wednesday on Saturday, and hopefully also Norwich vs Birmingham on the final day
  6. Hull have gone favourites after the Coventry team news. Good for us if Coventry lose they’re out of the race and perhaps are less motivated vs us. Also keeps Hull in the race who play Plymouth on the final day and means Norwich have something to play for vs Birmingham Does probably mean they’ll be full strength again when they play us on Saturday though
  7. A draw on Saturday alongside WBA beating Wednesday would be enough to guarantee safety, as Wednesday and one of Hudds/Brum wouldn't surpass us on 50 points. Likewise if we draw and Huddersfield win, we're also safe, regardless of Wednesday result as neither Huddersfield or Birmingham would surpass us on 50 points Finally, a victory would also confirm safety, providing any of Wednesday and Birmingham fail to win, or Plymouth lose So essentially if we can pick up 1 point, it'll be enough if EITHER Sheffield Wednesday OR Birmingham lose (both are underdogs). The statistical chance of any of the above permutations happening is around 43% i.e. it's about 11/8 in betting terms that Rovers will be safe going into the Leicester match. Not sure if that eases anybody at all, but it's odds on that we'll be going to Leicester biting our nails.
  8. Bolton have sold an additional 1k extra tickets vs last season in the early bird phase. Priced at £249. We continue on the journey to a closed Riverside under Swag.
  9. It's astonishing that man gets no criticism outside of this messageboard considering it's the same shocking output every year. We are always the last out of every Lancashire club to get them on sale.
  10. My guess would be Hedges and JRC if they could stay fit and stay at the club. Markanday and Telalovic aren't even at league 1 level.
  11. I did factor that into my pricing of the final matches to be fair, felt I was generous to our rivals e.g. Plymouth favourites vs Hull, Wednesday favourites away at Sunderland, all things that wouldn't be the case if played on any other match-week. So the 23% if we get no more points does take all that into account. For this weekend coming up we already have prices released so that's simple. If I go more aggressive/generous for our rivals on the final weekend I still can only get it to 30% chance (that's with Wednesday, Plymouth, Birmingham all going off shorter than 11/8 favourites which is unlikely.
  12. Out of curiosity, what do you think the ref was saying to him afterwards? It seemed a bit strange he ran over to him and they had an arm round each other. (appreciate that's a very open question)
  13. I think looking at with our pessimistic Rovers head on we’d always think it’s more likely. Will be the same for all fans of clubs down there.
  14. Yeah, Ince only had 21 games in charge for us, but it was obviously the correct decision to pot him.
  15. Yeah. I've just worked out the permutations (albeit prices are subjective on the last game of the season as we don't know who has anything to play for) to show what % chance we'd get relegated if we get 1 more point to take us to 50. If we get 1 more point, it requires all the below to occur to relegate us (as Huddersfield and Rotherham will be unable to surpass us): Plymouth 2+ Points (50 points better GD) so either WW, WD, DW, WL, LW, DD (53% chance of 2 or more points) Birmingham 4+ Points (50 points better GD) so either WW, WD, DW (24% chance of 4 or more points) Wednesday 4+ Points (51 points) so either WW, WD, DW (30% chance of 4 or more points) QPR 1+ Point (51 points) so either WW, WD, DW, WL, LW, DD, DL, LD (72% chance of 1 or more point) Stoke 1+ Point (51 points) so either WW, WD, DW, WL, LW, DD, DL, LD (79% chance of 1 or more point) All of the above happening I made 45/1 as the true price, so around 2% chance of relegation if we pick up 1 more point If interested, I also worked out the above with Rovers getting 0 more points and I made that scenario 10/3 for us to be relegated i.e. if we get 0 more points then there is a 23% chance we'll be relegated.
  16. If we get 1 point it would also require Stoke and QPR picking up 1 point from their final two (QPR play Leeds and Coventry) as we all have the same GD. Individually, all possible or likely, however, for all of those things to happen it becomes quite a big probability.
  17. My guess is Birmingham and Wednesday both get to 50 points (Wednesday losing to WBA). We likely need 1 point to scrape it on GD, though Plymouth could easily lose both of theirs too.
  18. You'd drop Dom Hyam in a heartbeat Chaddy. Everyone in the world can see it bar yourself and Eustace. Should have had the rest of the season on the bench at HT in Bristol.
  19. 13 points from 14 games now under Eustace (average 43 points across the season and 2nd bottom). 2 points taken from 4 matches against Millwall, Plymouth, Wednesday and Birmingham (3 at home). He will have been our manager for 1/3 of a season, and it's highly likely that he'll only amass 13 points and 2 victories in that space of time across 16 games!
  20. Reading the above and looking at fixtures, I think we're sort of cheering on Hull for the rest of the season (as our useless lot can't be relied on getting another point). Hull play Coventry next, beating them would wipe Cov out of playoffs and maybe mean they're less interested against us. Hull play Plymouth last, we want them motivated to beat them away from home. Hull are chasing a spot from either West Brom or Norwich who play Sheffield Wednesday and Birmingham respectively, we want them still needing wins for a playoff spot. So this weekend, outside of the obvious, it would also be nice if Swansea beat Norwich (to keep Norwich interested vs Birmingham) and Hull beat Ipswich (to keep Hull interested vs Plymouth)
  21. Jeez yeah I just assumed only Plymouth had a better GD than us, but we’re the same as Brum. That makes it a little more squeaky!!
  22. A lot is down to the fact that Huddersfield play Birmingham. They both cannot catch us, so there is only one spot left on that basis, with the likelihood that it goes to the other of those two. We basically want Huddersfield to win that, which means Birmingham can’t catch us and Huddersfield would have to beat Ipswich away (assuming we lose both). Draw is next best, Birmingham win and we lose to Cov and it’ll be a sweaty final weekend
  23. Coventry been going well since David Brent started topping his pension up at our place
  24. Gets away with harsh criticism because he’s behind Venkys, Suhail, Waggott, Silvestre in terms of competence, but still a joke that he holds such an important role at our club.
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