superniko
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Uncouth Garb - The BRFCS Store
Everything posted by superniko
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Interested in some news on this too. I suspect we'll be waiting for the fixture list first as I imagine it will exclude certain fixtures knowing Waggott (Boxing Day, New Year, Bank Holidays if they're at home and Burnley)
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Transfer Window - COMPLETE. Where’s Gregg?
superniko replied to chaddyrovers's topic in Blackburn Rovers Fans Messageboard
Didn’t we bring in Harvey Elliott when he was 17? Granted it’s midfield playmaker vs central defender so age/physicality is different. But if he’s good enough, he’s old enough -
Whilst that’s obviously true, these specific markets are run as (very small) loss leaders. They don’t make any profit on manager or transfer specials. Hence why they’re so aggressive at changes prices. There is always someone out there who will know before the bookmaker knows and it’s just how quick they can react. However, they do get customers in the door, get people talking about their odds and get social media exposure of their brand/odds though, so it’s essentially used as an acquisition / retention / marketing tool, something to set them apart from competitor bookies
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2022/2023 Pre Season Thread
superniko replied to MarkBRFC's topic in Blackburn Rovers Fans Messageboard
The Open (Golf) is on in St Andrews that weekend too. Obviously it's a bit away from Glasgow but given there will be thousands travelling for that, some might be choosing the big cities to stay in. Feels a long time since we had a trip abroad for pre-season (Scotland doesn't count!) - I was hoping even for one to Ireland. -
18/19 to 19/20 we spent £15m on players and we were absolutely dire to watch over that period. What do you want him to do, turn down the money? His signings were actually quite similar to Mowbray over those seasons. He spent £7m on a youngster from a youth team (only he played for Barcelona not Forest), ours took over 3 seasons to reap his value so we'll see.
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Had a pretty good 2 years at Braga, winning a cup and getting to the final of the other. Prior to that he took a relatively unknown Portuguese team to the Europa League with their best ever points total. He bounced around a lot early doors but for perspective 5 clubs in the last 10 years is hardly crazy in the current climate, and that's with no time off between really. 3 seasons with Istanbul, 2.5 with Wednesday, 0.5 with Swansea (his shortest spell given their PL relegation), 1 at Rio Ave, which was a success and subsequently has led to the last 2 seasons at Braga. For comparison Rovers have gone through 8 managers in that space of time (including Mowbray for 5 of the 10 years!) He wouldn't be my first choice, but 2 playoff finishes with Wednesday (yes after spending a lot), as well as a successful 3 years in Portugal since, you can't say he he hasn't done anything to justify being a candidate for a mid-table Championship team.
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Transfer Window - COMPLETE. Where’s Gregg?
superniko replied to chaddyrovers's topic in Blackburn Rovers Fans Messageboard
Bannan is 32 and only has 1 year left on his contract for a league 1 club. Of course we could afford him if we were interested. -
For what it's worth, you can pretty much ignore the bookies on this market until there is a big price crash / suspension, at which point it will be practically known anyway. They're just reacting to articles, twitter 'journalists' and max bets. Regarding Lancs Live, they haven't got a clue bar whatever the club drip feeds them (what a grim set-up that is). It's 1,000.000/1 that they've actually had contact with Farke or his representatives about him only wanting a Premier League job. So the most likely outcome is either the club are lowering our expectations with this nonsense in preparation for a Ferguson / Woodgate announcement, or it's just clickbait for Lancs Live to pay the bills.
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It’s based on a lay to lose from the bookmaker. This specific market is set to £250, so every unrestricted / uncoded customer will be able to bet to win £250 on it (i.e you could bet £500 if it was a 1/2 selection but only £25 if it was 10/1) They'll be moving prices when these max bets are hit (more so on the shorter prices) - so yeah you’re right if 5 people consecutive hit a max bet on Wilcox that price would be at least halved, or the market even suspending for a short while, and rightly so from the bookmakers point of view.
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16/1 or so now - we were 4/1 when QPR were winning at HT, nice lay.
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Goal difference isn’t a factor - we have to win both matches regardless so our GD will be minimum +13 if we do that (win by 1 twice). We also need Sheff Utd to lose against Fulham regardless so worst case their GD is also +13 (lose by 1). Same for Luton - if we catch them then we have to win 2 and they lose 2 - in that case there is a minimum 4 goal swing and we then have a better GD. Shorter Version: GD doesn’t actually come into play for us
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For what it's worth, Wilder was in the lounge / padded seats for the Coventry home match back in October, on his own. No rumours, saw him myself. That was 1 month before Boro took him on.
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That just isn't true - did we ever actually sit in the top 6 under Bowyer? Maybe for a week. We perhaps got into contention to put pressure on the top 6, then had displays like the Sheff Wed and Yeovil. He had a big wage bill, had players like King, Cairney, Gestede, Rhodes, Lawrence, as well as defenders who have been in the Premier League most seasons since (Duffy, Hanley - regardless of how we rate them). Bowyer grossly underachieved compared to Mowbray, but the club was even more of a shambles then and Bowyer has found his level in League 2. Similar to looking at players above that Bowyer had, I would say that I look back and wonder how a championship team with Harvey Elliott and the (2nd?) top scorer in the league finished 15th - the answer was our shocking defence. It's a shame Elliott probably came here a season too early for us. We had a +11 GD in 15th...not even sure how that is possible apart from being flat track bullies I guess.
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I think that is a bit harsh. If any other championship club on the edge of the playoffs had a manager out of contract in 2 games times I’d expect their local papers to be asking questions about it pretty relentlessly. I’m actually surprised they’ve not been asking earlier and more often (it is their job)
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Wycombe unbeaten in 11 games, only conceding 4 goals - they’re hitting form at the right time. Good chance Ainsworth will be taking them to the playoffs which in a league with some big clubs is another impressive feat. Also means he might not want to talk to clubs for a few weeks.
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v Bournemouth (h) - 30/4/22
superniko replied to Herbie6590's topic in Blackburn Rovers Fans Messageboard
Yeah that’s what I had them as too. So we’ve already sold ~5k BBE and ~10k in JW as well as just over half the Riverside and 2k in DE (including away) = about 19.5k already gone (18k home fans) -
v Bournemouth (h) - 30/4/22
superniko replied to Herbie6590's topic in Blackburn Rovers Fans Messageboard
Jack Walker is 11k isn’t it? Or have I had a brain fart? -
v Bournemouth (h) - 30/4/22
superniko replied to Herbie6590's topic in Blackburn Rovers Fans Messageboard
Unfortunately not, as we learnt from Oxford a few years back.
