superniko

I wonder if Mr Wharton was in the away end today with Palace not playing.

Words can’t describe what Sammie did for us this season, and today he was his usual superb self, both goals superb, the second had a touch of the Vardys about it, celebrating before it was in. Pickering, Tronstadt and McFadz I also thought were excellent today. Brittain and Gallagher weak links on our right hand side but not worth going into that when we’re on such a high. Delighted that ‘big club’ have dropped VENKYS OUT

I didn’t think we’d stay up by beating Leeds and Leicester away from home at the death 😂😂😂

Ayari the daft sod - was like Morton part 2

This is how I feel too.

Update: 14/1 and 6.6% chance of relegation what a one man band we are.

Update: 4/1 now and 20% chance

Birmingham 1-0 yikes

Doubt they’re arsed. Leeds or Southampton, not much difference

For what it’s worth. Updated odds are 8/1 currently for relegation Leicester 1.83 to win, Plymouth 1.83 to win, Birmingham 2.6 to win and Wednesday 1.04 not to lose 1.83 x 1.83 x 2.6 x 1.03 = 8/1 ie gone from a 4% chance pre match to 11% chance right now.

The worry for me is that Hull and Norwich results affect each other. Hull losing means Norwich don’t need to try which means more chance for Brum. We basically need to hope Leicester come out the same as that for the 2nd half and we cling onto 0-0

Nope, we draw and we’re safe regardless

Spot the lads who are already on the beach

We’ll have record season ticket sales in league 1 at least with everyone’s 18/1 relegation winnings!

Wednesday 2-0 and their job Is done

We just need to do the business ourselves, and hope that Leicester continue to not really care. Either that or hope Plymouth fail to stick it in the net!

Wednesday 1-0

Not sure if it’s the same bloke, but they used to always have funky designs

Sam Gallagher is just not a centre forward, or even a footballer. Forget about the weak finish there, but the Chrisene cross just sums the lad up to a tee, has zero anticipation or goal scorer positioning.

Now 27/1 for relegation based on 100% odds after all the team news and pro-money coming in. 1.58 x 2.6 x 4.1 x inverse of 2.46 We have no excuses anyway with Norwich and Sunderland going strong

New TV deal meaning we'll be on Sky Sports every other week or thereabouts.....good for commercial advertising? Nah, we'll just stick with the local solicitors for a few hundred grand thanks. Sincerely, Swag.

He’s played less than 200 minutes across half a season. Doesn’t even make their squad half the time. He might come in handy in league 1 mind you. We can do better in the Championship though (see Trondstad)

I know it's a 46 game season and you could argue the 5-1 victory vs Sunderland as much as this...but...if we had only lost to Bristol City by 1 goal rather than 5-0, then Birmingham would have needed a 5 goal swing against us this weekend. We could lose to Leicester by 2 and Birmingham would have to win by 3 vs Norwich. That match really does hang like a black cloud now!

Yes it looks like odds on Leicester have drifted after sealing the title last night. Amazingly they're 1.71-1.72 to win on the Exchange, which equates to 8/11 in old money - i.e only 58% chance of beating us! It's a very tricky thing to price up though given 'motivation' etc. If this was earlier in the season it would have been considerably shorter, e.g. Leeds were 1/3 to beat us a few weeks ago (75% chance), which is probably what we would have seen Saturday too. Personally, I think 8/11 is a bet, they're still going for 100 points and we know how soft our lot are. There is no chance someone like Vardy will be taking it easy just because the title is already wrapped up.

It's not bookies getting it wrong necessarily, statistically 18/1 (~23/1 without bookmaker margin) still has a 4%-5% chance of happening. It isn't 'that' unlikely. Leicester was a freak result, Diaz was priced incorrectly and was wrong. Swags season ticket sales could be at a record high in League 1 if everyone has £20 on it 😄 (might have to be £25 with his pricing structure!)